How picks are made, ranked and graded, and how the record is kept honest.
Odds are pulled live from the major US sportsbooks for moneylines, spreads and totals. The sportsbook margin is removed from each line to find the fair price, and the best available price is shown along with where to get it.
Every game on the board is researched, not a sample. An AI research step searches the web for confirmed injuries and inactives, expected lineups, rest and travel, recent form, matchup and weather, and names its sources. Official injury reports, records and scores from public data feeds are checked against what it finds, and anything that does not line up is flagged on the pick.
Each team is rated on how it has played over a longer stretch, and how it is playing right now. Those are combined into a win chance for the game, which sits next to the market price on every pick. Early in a season, or when data is thin, the pick says so.
From all of that, the system picks the bets it would make and rates its confidence from 1 to 10. The five strongest bets of the whole slate become the daily Top 5. Every other researched bet is listed in ranked order under it.
Suggested stakes are a small share of your bankroll, scaled by confidence and never more than 2%. They are a starting point, not advice.
Props are compared across books for the best price, then checked against the player's recent games: how often the player cleared the line, his recent averages, minutes and home/away split.
The first full build of each day is the official Top 5. It is locked, time-stamped with its price, and graded automatically from final scores at a flat one unit. Picks added by later rebuilds are recorded separately and kept out of the headline record. A winner is also called for every game and graded against the simple strategy of always taking the favorite. A result is only recorded when two score sources agree. Nothing is edited or removed, and the full record can be downloaded from the Record and Winners pages.